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Dancer's Answers We publish a brand-new video poker article from Bob Dancer every Thursday in this section. These columns are called "Dancer's Answers". Click on any of the links below for more Dancer's Answers: Bob Dancer Articles - Main Page Vicksburg Video Poker - May 8, 2008 Vicksburg, MS Video Poker - Part 2 - May 15, 2008 Vicksburg Casino Video Poker - Part 3 - May 22, 2008 Common Deuces Wild Mistakes – Juan or the Other – May 29, 2008 Figuring Out Quick Quads - June 5, 2008 Breaking Full Houses in Quick Quads - June 12, 2008 A Quick Quads Puzzler - June 19, 2008 Let’s Go Scouting - June 26, 2008 When You're Not Sure of the Game - July 3, 2008 Can it be Right to Play Hunches - July 10, 2008 Good Hearted Woman in Love With a Good Timin’ Man - July 17, 2008 One-Way Versus Two-Way Straight Penalties - July 24, 2008 Effectual versus Ineffectual Straight Penalties - July 31, 2008 Unusual Dealt Royals - August 7, 2008 Learning from a Horse Handicapper - August 14, 2008 When Bad Is Good - August 21, 2008 I Live For These Moments - August 28, 2008 Las Vegas Do It Different - September 4, 2008 Figuring the worth when there are Multiple Progressives - September 11, 2008 Which is the Better Play? - September 18, 2008 How Much is Too Much? - September 25, 2008 Evaluating a Promotion - October 2, 2008 Sometimes the Jack, Sometimes Ace-Jack, Never the Ace by Itself - October 9, 2008 Why I Don't Play Poker - October 16, 2008 What is a Royal Flush Cycle? - October 23, 2008 A Logical Puzzler - October 30, 2008 Another Look at Changing Machines - November 6, 2008 Testing Matters - November 13, 2008 Next Dancer's Answers column coming on November 20, 2008! |
Doubling Up --- Does it Ever Make Sense? --- Part II of IIThis column is a continuation of last week’s, and originally ran in 1999. Although the games mentioned are no longer found, the principles remain. There are occasionally opportunities for winning players to intelligently use the double up feature. In 1996 there was an "invited guest" promotion at a major Las Vegas Strip property. At the end of the weekend, the casino was giving out $100,000 to the players. To get your share of this booty, you had to earn tickets by playing on the machines. You got one ticket for each $7500 you ran through the machines, or for each hand-paid jackpot of $500 or more. It was estimated that about 5,000 tickets would be earned over the weekend, so each one was worth twenty bucks on average. At this casino, 9-6 jacks was the best machine offered. Although this is a house advantage game, returning only 99.54%, the casino offered .67% cash back, which made the game slightly positive. The $2 games and higher did not offer the double up feature, but the $1 games did. Which is the one to play? On the $2 machine, the straight flush didn't qualify for a ticket. It was worth $500, but it was not a hand-pay. So you only got tickets for a royal, and for dollars run through the machine. Since you could play about $6,000 per hour through the machine, you got about $16 per hour worth of tickets per hour (because it takes $7,500 to get one ticket worth $20). On the $1 machine, you only got $8 per hour from coin in, but now the double up feature can be used. Four of a kinds are paid $125 on this game. If you won two double-ups in a row (a 1 in 4 chance), you would win $500. These machines were set to make this a hand pay, worth an additional $20. A 1-in-4 chance to win an extra $20 means each quad is worth an extra $5. Since you get about 1½ quads per hour, this technique added $7.50 per hour to your expected win. Also doubling straight flushes added another 67¢ per hour. Straight flushes are a once-every-15-hours event and since you only had to win one double up, they were worth an extra $10 on average. This made the $1 machine as lucrative as the $2 machine, with about half the risk. This was a good deal. Some players also doubled up on full houses, originally worth $45. This took four successful wins to pay off (a 1 in 16 chance), so it was worth $1.25 each time you did it. But this took a bigger bankroll. Fifteen out of sixteen times you turned your $45 into zip, and one out of 16 times you won the $720. The players doing this were very knowledgeable. They knew that if they got enough repetitions, the results would be very predictable. Over the course of the weekend, they might well get twenty quads. They were "supposed" to be successful on the "double up twice" gambit exactly five times. Some players did indeed connect five times. Others of them connected only three or four times, while others connected six or seven times. Now the difference between connecting three times and seven times on this $500 jackpot is $2000. Plus four $20 tickets. Being on the high side is more fun than being on the low side, but either is equally likely. If swings like this bother you, don't be doubling up. Knowledgeable players are not particularly concerned about these swings. They know that they will average out over time. Let me tell you a true story about when you shouldn't double. At least I think it's true. I wasn't there, and I might have some of the details wrong, but somebody I trust related it to me. A young Chinese-American couple came to Vegas to get married. Everybody on both sides of the family came. Including Grannie Wong. Grannie Wong is 70-something and barely speaks English and reads not at all. She finds herself in the Mirage and decides to play video poker. She drops her five $1 tokens in and is dealt a royal flush! Fantastic! $4,000!! However, nobody who speaks English is around and lights aren't flashing. Grannie Wong thinks she has a good hand and can't understand why she didn't win. But on her screen is a question: "Do You Wish To Double Up?" Granny doesn't know what this says, but she can read the "Yes" and "No". She calls out for her family, but they are all busy playing. She figures the machine is asking her if she wants to be paid, so she pushes the "Yes" button. She wins! But she doesn't know it. The machine now says she has won $8,000. "Do You Wish To Double Up?" She again calls to her family. Again her family is too busy. She presses "Yes" again! And wins again! By this time the family is running over and shouting the Chinese equivalent of "Don't touch that dial!" By the time everything got sorted out, Grannie Wong was paid $16,000 and the family had a story they would never forget! Even though she won, I would call this a very silly bet. If you are going to double up, do so on relatively frequent hands. A royal is a once-every-40,000 hands events. Nobody gets enough of these so that doubling up makes sense. Also, few people double up when they win jackpots in the $600 thru $1199 range. Jackpots of $1200 gets a tax form attached at no extra charge, and most people consider a tax form a negative thing, so double the money isn't worth twice as much. Bob Dancer is America's best-known video poker writer and teacher. He has a variety of "how to play better video poker" products, including the software "Video Poker for Winners," Winner's Guides, strategy cards, his autobiography Million Dollar Video Poker, and his two novels, including Sex, Lies, and Video Poker. Dancer's products may be ordered at www.bobdancer.com or by telephone at 1-800-244-2224 M-F 9-5 Pacific Time. The content on this site is copyright 2006 - 2008, Video Poker 365. All Rights Reserved. No unauthorized duplication. |
Classic Dancer We republish a classic Bob Dancer article every Sunday - often these articles are updated with new insights from Bob Dancer, the master of video poker writing. Video Poker Questions and Answers - May 4, 2008 More Answers to Questions About Video Poker Machines - May 11, 2008 Losing is a Major Part of Winning at Video Poker - May 18, 2008 Video Poker VS Blackjack - May 25, 2008 The Art of Tipping Slot Personnel - Part 1 - June 1, 2008 The Art of Tipping Slot Personnel - Part 2 - June 8, 2008 Putting Your Ducks In a Row - June 15, 2008 Luck and Skill in Video Poker - June 22, 2008 Strategy Adjustments in Video Poker - June 29, 2008 One Coin vs Five Coin - July 6, 2008 Video Poker Progressives - July 13, 2008 High Pairs versus Three Cards to a Rolal in Kings or Better Joker Wild - July 20, 2008 The Double Up Feature - Does It Ever Make Sense? - Part 1 - July 27, 2008 Doubling Up - Does it Ever Make Sense? - Part 2 - August 3, 2008 Did I Quit at the Right Time? - August 10, 2008 Money Management: What Does and Doesn't Work - August 17, 2008 "I'm Playing The Wrong Game" and Other Video Poker Fallacies - August 24, 2008 You Use To Be Such a Cheapskate - August 31, 2008 Is This a Good Promotion? Part 1 - September 7, 2008 Is This a Good Video Poker Promotion? Part 2 - September 14, 2008 More Video Poker Fallacies - September 21, 2008 Not All Proposals Should be Accepted - September 28, 2008 An Opportunity Too Good to Pass Up Part 1 of 2 - October 5, 2008 An Opportunity Too Good to Pass Up Part 2 - October 12, 2008 Predicting Your Future Results at Video Poker - Part 1 of 2 - October 19, 2008 Predicting Future Video Poker Reulsts - Part 2 of 2 - October 26, 2008 Moving Up in Denomination - Part 1 of 2 - November 2, 2008 Moving Up in Video Poker Denomination - Part 2 of 2 - November 9, 2008 A Letter from a Non-Believer - Part 1 of 2 More Classic Dancer coming Sunday November 23, 2008. |